[303] The Siege of Kobbo

Las discusiones de la web han enfocado en las pasadas semanas sobre el asedio de los boicotistas al programa de La Comay.  Lo que empezo como un movimiento masivo ha desinflado, llegando a un estancamiento de varios dias.  Si, es cierto que se ha logrado la elimnacion de pautas en el canal, pero tumban dos auspiciadores y aparecen cuatro.

Habia comenzado mi explicacion en el articulo pasado donde expuse que tendrian una vez que enfrentar la consistencia del boricua de ser inconsistente.  Yo no participo en ningun rally o protesta a menos que hayan dos orquestas, comida y bebelata gratis.  Argumentaba en diferentes lados de la red que aunque una protesta realmente no compone nada si muestra algo, una transicion de apretar un like en una pagina a ir a protestar.  (mi articulo previo http://alcantarillaalquimica.blogspot.com/2012/12/302-la-consistencia-de-la-inconsistencia.html)

El cangriman y Carlos directamente en los podcasts me hicieron caer en cuenta de que quizas, este approach nuevo de ir al Boicot en vez de protestar todo a la vez lograria enfocar esfuerzos en comun, como una ruta de depuracion.  No diluimos el strawman, ponemos un strawman (La Mu/neca) para luego ir a otro strawman (El Capo, Dando Candela o alguna otra cafreria del vertedero que es nuestro sistema de medios locales).

Me uno al grupo, pero entonces vemos lo de la masa ignorante.  Lidereados por La Comay, con el auspicio de la mano negra de Luis Davila Colon asustamos a los PNP Estadistas que ni hablan en ingles ni tienen educacion alguna de que esto es el Grupo Ferre Rangel.  Aqui tambien esta el timoneo, pero es peor todavia porque apela a la masa ignorante, mas manipulable que las reses.

Del tema una caricatura que hice: Negociacion Virtual, link debajo:
http://alcantarillaalquimica.blogspot.com/2012/04/261-illustrated-post.html

The siege seems to be turning! Recuerden que el ser el primer programa de la television puertorique/na tiene sus privilegios.  Joe Ramos no va a soltar el pirmer programa de su canal asi tnga qu rodar auspiciadores de otros lados con o sin permiso, o hasta regalar los espacios al \mejor postor.

Ahora, quien tendra mas resistencia, las reses que no van a dejar de sintonizar el programa y pueden estar todo el dia hablando estupideces, o los boicoteros que piden no sintonizar el programa?  Solo el tiempo lo dira.

En el interin, dos nuevos angulos que deberan enfrentar los boicoteros.  Todos tienen los ojos puestos sobre las dos marchas decretadas.  Si aparecen menos de 50 personas de nuevo no creo que podran sostener un boicot pot mucho tiempo.

El segundo angulo, Daily Show con Jon Stewart entrevisto la Comay ayer, ratificando la muneca como prensa (en realidad se burlo de todos los puertorrique/nos al hacerle caso a una mu/neca, refejado justo cuando en una conferencia de prensa afuera botan el muppet corresponsal fuera).  Aunque esto se fraguo desde hace varias semanas atras la nota no salio hasta tanto ayer.  Esto es combustible para los antiboicot.  Esa logica comay de sea buena prensa o mala prensa es prensa resulta beneficioso al movimiento anti boicot.

http://www.metro.pr/entretener/the-daily-show-entrevista-a-la-comay/pGXlln!nAxpaA4HBALs/
http://www.telemundopr.com/telenoticias/puerto-rico/The-Daily-Show-realiza-reportaje-de-La-Comay-183492851.html
http://www.latinorebels.com/2012/12/14/the-daily-show-does-piece-on-la-comay-and-makes-no-mention-of-current-boycott/

Algunos preguntaran por que yo decidi entrar en el movimiento a pesar de saber que posiblemente fallaria?  Y que la fiebre no esta en la sabana.
La razon: crei que el nuevo approach, atacar un problema a la vez seria mas efectivo que ir contra todo a la misma vez.  Esa logica es de Quality Control y Assurance.  Se llama un analisis de Pareto.  Este analisis estipula que el 80% de los problemas son ocasionados por solo un 20% de los componentes.  Enfocar en ese 20% da un 'larger bang for the buck'.  Permite en enfocar en reducir el error.  Algo fundamental del tema aqui:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_analysis
http://erc.msh.org/quality/pstools/pspareto.cfm

Para pensar...este estudio matematico donde se ve el auspiciar vs no auspiciar un programa...
http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/bitstream/10419/26368/1/570127793.PDF

Do markets produce the right amount of boycotts? Are there too few boycotts from the social point of view? This is a challenging welfare issue. In an individualistic society with utilitarian preferences, the well-being of (all) citizens are often taken as the starting point for the evaluation of the social welfare. Boycotts enhance the market position of well-behaving .rms and the consumer surplus of their customers. There are, however, quite a few other welfare aspects. The negative externalities, say pollution, is reduced - we have not modelled such an externality explicitly. The moral individuals who abstain from buying from the unethical .rm do bene.t, though we abstracted from introducing this mechanism in our formal model if only to simplify. By implication, the immoral consumers who for the reasons of opportunism switch the .rm tend to cause a positive externality on the moral ones. Such a positive externality tends,

however, to be diluted if the private return on signalling a moral characteristic su¤ers from the number of boycotters. Organizing a boycott, however, can be socially costly as it represents a reduction in use of resources in a productive

activity. People who bear these costs may not be the same people who bene.t from boycotts as some are free-riders and can take opportunistically the advantage of lower prices of the products boycotted. Those less moral individuals who

buy from the unethical .rm su¤er a cost as they de.nitively are now separated from the moral ones.

En sencillo, todos cogen pon con el boycott si tiene exito.  Lo dejan a su suerte si falla.  Ejemplo mencionado varias veces por Manolo Matos: Chick-Fil-A:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-03/chick-fil-a-day-a-reminder-that-boycotts-often-backfire.html

By the way, lo que el grupo que auspicia la comay esta haciendo esto mismo tras bastidores.  Y by the way, la comay ha tenido decadas para desarrollar entrampamientos, adiestrando toda una generacion de mal nacidos vividores como Dando Candela, Pedro Juan, xposed news, etc.

Tambien recuerden esto es sistemico.  Ddesde Myrta Silva y sus chismes han habido chismologos de farandula en la TV.  Fue Kobbo que comenzo lo de esconderse detras de la mu/neca desde la Chachara, la Condesa y finalmente la Comay.

Incluyo e articulo de Solo Joe porque no lo he visto mencionado mucho:
http://enjustaperspectiva.blogspot.com/2012/12/el-fenomeno-de-la-comay.html


La solucion, ya la he dicho antes.  Apague el radio o el televisor cada vez que peguen a bochinchar de farandula o salga programas como el de la Comay.  Ese es el mejor boicot...

Cierro diciendo que algo tiene que pasar este ciclo de violencia esta cada dia peor.  La masacre del siglo ya es la masacre de la semana.  El caso del hijastro que ahorco y prendio en fuego a su madrastra con un amigo pensando que jugaba GTA4 pone a uno a pensar.  Com detenemos el ciclo.  Y lo que siempre he dicho, comencemos por nosotros mismos.  No esperemos a superman.  Historia previa:
http://alcantarillaalquimica.blogspot.com/2011/03/la-cultura-del-miedo-en-los-medios-tema.html

Recuerdan este articulo del 2010...?  de como nos hemos desensitivizado con el dolor?
Hemos crecido desde entonces?  No creo.
http://alcantarillaalquimica.blogspot.com/2010/10/reflexiones-sobre-la-violencia.html

[214] Nutshell Studies of Unexplained Death

De cuando en vez se mencionan estas miniaturas donde se reproducen en detalle escenas de crimen para entrenar a los nuevos agentes forenses.  Habia visto un articulo en Details de varios a/nos atras donde supe que esto existia.  Armar maquetas es interesante...cuando le pones una historia.

Este articulo me recordo lo impresionante e interesante de conceptualizar escenas de crimen como si fuera una casita de mu/necas...Lo encontre interesante, debido a que en la era en que se hizo era revolucionario y su constructora lo hizo en sus 50s.  En un ambiente machista...Sinceramente impresionante.  Y lo dejo simple, mas detalles en los links.

Churn out...

http://www.metafilter.com/109826/Interestingly-she-advanced-in-a-male-dominated-field-by-coopting-the-feminine-tradition-of-miniatures

"Interestingly, she advanced in a male dominated field by co-opting the feminine tradition of miniatures."
November 27, 2011 7:40 AM

"The Nutshell Studies of Unexplained Death": an exploration of a collection of eighteen miniature crime scene models that were built in the 1940's and 50's by a progressive criminologist Frances Glessner Lee (1878 – 1962). The models, which were based on actual homicides, suicides, and accidental deaths, were created to train detectives to assess visual evidence. This seven-year project culminated in an exhibition and a book The Nutshell Studies of Unexplained Death (The Monacelli Press, 2004). [Image Gallery]
posted by Fizz (28 comments total) 42 users marked this as a favorite

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frances_Glessner_Lee

She was inspired by a classmate of her brother, George Burgess Magrath, who was just getting his MD from Harvard Medical School and was particularly interested in death investigation.[1][2] They remained close friends until his death in 1938. Magrath became a chief medical examiner in Boston and together they lobbied to have coroners replaced by medical professionals. Glessner Lee endowed the Harvard department of legal medicine (in 1931, the first such department in the country),[3] a chair in the field, the George Burgess Magrath Library,[1][4] and Harvard Associates in Police Science, a national organization for the furtherance of forensic science, one division of which is the Frances Glessner Lee Homicide School.[5] The Harvard program influenced other states to change over from the coroner system. Magrath became the department's first Chair.

Through the 1940s and 1950s, Lee hosted a series of semi-annual "Nutshell Studies of Unexplained Death." 30 or 40 leading crime scene investigators would be invited to a week-long conference, where she would present them with an intricately constructed diorama of actual crime scenes, complete with working doors, windows, and lights. They would have 90 minutes to study the scene. The week culminated in a banquet at the Ritz Carlton.[1][4] The 18 dioramas are still used for training purposes by Harvard Associates in Police Science.[5]

For her work, Lee was made an honorary Captain in the New Hampshire State Police in 1943, the first woman in the US to hold that rank.[3][5]

Mas aqui:
http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1999-02-24/news/9902240040_1_forensic-science-police-science-1930s-and-1940s
http://harvardmagazine.com/2005/09/frances-glessner-lee-html
http://harvardmag.com/pdf/2005/09-pdfs/0905-36.pdf

Las fotos incluidas aqui son parte de una exhibicion fotografica de Corinne May Botz, que publico un libro al respecto.

http://www.corinnebotz.com/Corinne_May_Botz/Nutshell_Studies.html


"The Nutshell Studies of Unexplained Death" is an exploration of a collection of eighteen miniature crime scene models that were built in the 1940's and 50's by a progressive criminologist Frances Glessner Lee (1878 – 1962). The models, which were based on actual homicides, suicides, and accidental deaths, were created to train detectives to assess visual evidence. This seven-year project culminated in an exhibition and a book The Nutshell Studies of Unexplained Death (The Monacelli Press, 2004).

The models display an astounding level of precision and detail: shades can be raised and lowered, mice live in the walls, stereoscopes work, whistles blow and pencils write. My photographs highlight the models’ painstaking detail, as well as the prominence of female victims. Through framing, scale, lighting, color, and depth of field, I attempt to bring intimacy and emotion to the scene of the crime. I want viewers to feel as if they inhabit the miniatures - to loose their sense of proportion and experience the large in the small.

In addition to creating over 100 photographs of the models, I spent years researching and writing about the female criminologist who conceived and built the models, Frances Glessner Lee (1878-1962). I considered Lee my collaborator, and as a woman artist, it was important for me to unearth her story and make it known. My writing explores how Lee’s experience of domestic space informed her creations. Lee followed the role prescribed for her as an upper-class woman, but domestic life never suited her. The houses where she lived were a place of refuge, personal expression, and pride, but they were also a source of disempowerment and anxiety. While she was unhappy with the roles she was forced into as a woman, she maintained assumptions about a woman’s place in the home. Interestingly, she advanced in a male dominated field by co-opting the feminine tradition of miniatures

The models undermine the notion of the home as a safe haven and reveal it to be a far more complex sphere. All of the models depict lower middle class interiors, and the majority of victims are women who suffered violent deaths in the home.

La Cultura del Miedo en los Medios - Tema 1 - Percepcion del Crimen

Todo es segun el color del cristal conque se mira.  He expuesto anteriormente que ese cristal es el bias que le ponemos a las cosas.  El bias es una percepcion precreada.  Es subjetiva y facilmente manipulable.  Los medios y lideres utilizan tecnicas de propaganda desarrolladas durante la segunda guerra mundial y la guerra fria para impulsar la agenda del partido en poder (o de los subersivos que los quieren hundir).
Este analisis de posibles causas comenzo aqui: http://www.boingboing.net/2011/03/03/human-beings-arent-v.html
El primer paper que incluyo expone lo del 'Confirmation Bias'.  Como absorbemos selectivamente la informacion para solo presentar lo que refuerza mi punto:
http://www.bmj.com/content/340/bmj.c2276.full
There is considerable evidence that people presented with balanced arguments place weight on those they already agree with,1 exhibiting what is termed confirmation bias.2 A recent study from the United States randomly allocated one of four versions of an authoritative news story about diabetes to people who had declared different political allegiances.3 Each story was identical except for how they described the cause of diabetes. One said nothing about the cause (the control), whereas the three others cited genes, individual lifestyle choices, and social determinants. They were then asked whether they agreed with two statements on the reason people get diabetes, one specifying social determinants and the other genes. Democrats were most likely to agree that social determinants were a cause, regardless of which version they read. Independents reading the version where social determinants were the cause were more likely to agree with this explanation than those who read the control story, but the social determinants version had no effect on Republicans’ views. 

En este segundo articulo discuto otro punto que he traido anteriormente.  Creemos que porque vemos CSI y House somos unos expertos forenses de la mejor clase.  Asi que todos saben quien mato a Lorenzo, conocen la maquinacion criminal tras la Masacre de Pajaros o porque le cayeron a golpes a la rectora. Este estudio demuestra que entonces la gente que constantemente ve estos programas tienden a desconfiar del sistema de justicia.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/10/091028142237.htm

"Many people die as a result of being murdered in these types of shows, and we found the heavy TV-crime viewers estimated two and a half times more real-world deaths due to murder than non-viewers," Sarapin says. "People's perceptions also were distorted in regards to a number of other serious crimes. Heavy TV-crime viewers consistently overestimated the frequency of crime in the real world."

Viewers of crime shows also misjudged the number of law enforcement officers and attorneys in the total work force. Lawyers and police officers each make up less than 1 percent of the work force, but those surveyed estimated it at more than 16 percent and 18 percent, respectively, Sarapin says.

The viewing of crime drama also can shape opinions about the world in general, Sparks says.

"This kind of television viewing can lead to 'mean world syndrome,' where people start to think about the world as a scary place," Sparks says. "Some people develop a fear of victimization, and this belief can affect their feelings of comfort and security."

Va mas alla.  Cuando ni/no siempre recordaba a mi tia abuela con el radio puesto en radio reloj.  Radio Reloj (ahora WKAQ 580) repetia la misma noticia cada dos minutos,  Asi que cuando mataron a Pancho Lopez en un cafetin del Barrio Colorado de Cidra lo mataban cada dos minutos.  Ella asentia.  -Esto esta malo. El mundo se va a acabar.  Mira como mataron a otro mas.-  Lo repetian tanto que se le penetraba en la psiquis.
Eso mismo encontro el estudio.  Ver tanto asesinato en estas series hace sobreestimar el numero de crimenes que en realidad estan ocurriendo.
O sea.  La cosa esta mala.  Los crimenes siguen ocurriendo.  Y han agravado.  Pero hasta que punto?  Esto va mas alla de la estadistica y numeros manipulados y maquillados por las agencias.
 
http://www.oregonlive.com/portland/index.ssf/2011/02/oregonians_believe_crime_is_on.html
Este no es el caso de Puerto Rico.  En Puerto Rico no son las estadisticas el problema, son la magnitud de la violencia de los crimenes y el desden a la vida humana.  Sitios que no se cruzaban antes, como shopping centers, residencias o familiares ya no impiden una ejecucion por drogas.  Pronto llegara el dia en que puedan asesinar a alguien en un cine o Dios no lo quiera, en medio de un culto evangelico.

En Oregon encontraron que los encuestados creian que el crimen estaba peor que nunca mientras que las estadisticas mostraban lo contrario.  Sera el bias cognitivo mencionado arriba?  sera por ver mucha serie policiaca?

Around the time survey results arrived, Oregon's Criminal Justice Commission released a report about property crime being at an all-time low. "What I noticed right away," Renauer said, "was that perceptions about crime didn't seem to match up with trends in crime."

In the PSU survey, only 10 percent of respondents said they believed the crime rate had dropped during the preceding year, while 38 percent said they thought the rate had stayed the same. Researchers figured the margin of error at about 2.47 percentage points.

Respondents who said they thought crime had climbed were more inclined to define themselves as conservative. They typically did not have bachelor's degrees, reported their family income at less than $50,000 and said they were dissatisfied with the criminal justice system. Of that group, 45 percent ranked punishment and enforcement as top crime-control measures.

People saw their own communities in a more positive light, with only 25 percent saying they believed that local crime had increased.

The Oregon reality: From 2008 to 2009, violent crime fell 2.1 percent, putting the state's rate at 38th nationally. Oregon's property crime rate ranked 23rd in the nation in 2009, and that year the rate was the lowest since 1966.

Sociologists long have studied fear as an indirect effect of crime, and conclude it has contributed to everything from political campaigns with a law-and-order bent to the rapid growth of gated communities and the security industry.

Some studies show a strong correlation between fear of crime and media consumption -- from the abundance of crime reports in newspapers and on TV to the plethora of forensics and cop dramas on the tube night and day.

A 2009 Purdue University survey found that those who watched lots of crime shows estimated real-world deaths due to murder at 2 1/2 times more than non-viewers.

Renauer wanted to include such questions in the PSU study, but they were axed when the survey grew so long it verged on cumbersome, he said. The approximately 50-question survey took 15 to 20 minutes to complete. Residents were randomly sampled in the Willamette Valley, the coast, southern and eastern Oregon.

Una manera de manipular la opinion es con esta cultura de miedo.  Dar miedo para vender una idea.  Aqui se ha usado para todo.  Miedo a ser independientes, miedo a anexionarnos a los US hablando ingles, miedo a perder mis beneficios y posicion.  Y el miedo en realidad nunca logra nada.  Decia un jefe mio sabiamente: 'es mejor tomar iniciativa y tomar una mala decision en el proceso que no atreverse a hacer nada'.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Culture_of_fear
http://www.csicop.org/si/show/why_do_we_often_fear_the_wrong_things/
Mas de la Cultura del Miedo aqui.  Si veo este libro lo compro...

Each day Americans are bombarded by a barrage of media messages. At the supermarket checkout we can't help but read tabloid headlines that announce what appears to be the umpteenth teen mother tragedy. Each morning, talk shows seem to feature yet another victim of some rare disease. On the car radio we hear the details of what seems to be the latest in a string of ever more serious youth crimes. Television newscasts will spend weeks discussing the latest plane crash.

In his wonderfully written new book, Barry Glassner reminds us again and again that frequently our fears are grossly exaggerated given the actual frequency of these rare events.

Glassner, a sociology professor at the University of Southern California, uses persuasive logic and well-chosen statistics to demonstrate the infrequency of such events as “road rage” and the rarity of such criminals as “cyber-predators.” Our almost pathological fears do serve some function, however. News media may use these fears to earn higher ratings, politicians may play on our fears during elections, and perhaps, in a sense, even lobbyists for special interest groups may exchange fear for increased fund-raising.

Luego sigo el tema con otros ejemplos relacionados a la salud.